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#2309 Nikkei dives 7%, ends below 14,500 : May 25, 2013 [74.高校・大学生のためのJT記事]

  #2298「アベノミクスの罪:日経平均15,096.03円 May 16」で、今年になってからの株価と為替レートの推移を挙げて、株価が高くなっている原因を分析した。2001年の時価評価制度導入と外国人投資家の東証上場株持ち株比率の上昇(約3割)が株を乱高下させている主たる要因。
 短期投資で利ザヤ稼ぎが目的だから、買うだけ買ったら利食い売りがあるのは当然だから急落はだれもが予想していただろう。
 5月22日の弊ブログ#2305「株高の原因」で、ジャパンタイムズの記事を引用した翌日に、日経平均が1,143.28円急落した。下げ幅が大きかったので国内個人投資家が周章狼狽している。

 見出しに使われている"Nikkei dives 7%"はドボンと飛び込み急速に沈んでいく様がありありと浮かんで単語の選び方が面白い。見出しは「つかみ」が大事だ。
 "ends below 14,500"は「14,500円を下回る終値をつけた」ということ。

 "All 33 sectors "は「水産・鉱業」からはじまる業種別分類。北海道新聞の株価の欄を見て数えても東証1部の産業業種別分類は33セクターはない。証券コード協議会の業種別分類表は33項目並んでいるので、参考にしたらいい。
*証券コード協議会業種別分類表
http://www.tse.or.jp/sicc/category/ct_chart.html

 株価がいくら暴落したのか数字を確認しておこう。
(2)  The 225-issue average closed down 1,143.28 points, or 7.32 percent, from Wednesday at 14,483.98, marking its steepest point fall since April 17, 2000, ・・・
 
 他の関連記事を二つ紹介したい。一つは10年もの国債金利が1%と急騰したこと、もうひとつは米国FRBがゼロ金利と量的金融緩和策の出口戦略を検討し始めていること。
 米国が金融引き締めに舵を切れば、いま日本国内の株価を押し上げている外国人投資家の資金が東京証券市場から引き上げ、金利の高い米国財務省証券購入へと向かうことになる。投下した円資金をドル転換しなければいけないから、一時は大量の円売りによる円安と株価下落が同時に起きる。株価も円も安定性を欠いた一年になりそうだ。

 ただ読むだけではダメだ、読んで考える、何がどうなっているのかこの三つの記事を手がかりに経済の現状を把握し、未来がどうなるのか、この国の未来がどうあるべきなのかを考えてもらいたい。結局のところ、この国の未来を通して人類の未来を考えることになる。
 だから、読むという行為は字面を追う事では終わらない。
 経済学部を受験する高校生にはいい教材だが、この記事を解説できる高校の英語の先生がどれくらいの割合でいるのだろう?
 
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2013/05/24/business/nikkei-dives-7-ends-below-14500/
==================================

Nikkei dives 7%, ends below 14,500

All 33 sectors decline, led by consumer finance, real estate and securities

Kyodo, AFP-JIJI, Staff Report

(1)  Tokyo’s Nikkei stock index tumbled more than 7 percent Thursday to end a roller-coaster trading session below 14,500 as selling triggered by weak Chinese data outpaced sharp gains made earlier and snapped a four-session winning streak.

(2)  The 225-issue average closed down 1,143.28 points, or 7.32 percent, from Wednesday at 14,483.98, marking its steepest point fall since April 17, 2000, after pulling back from its session high near the 16,000 mark, the highest intraday mark since Dec. 12, 2007. The broader Topix index of all first section issues on the Tokyo Stock Exchange was down 87.69 points, or 6.87 percent, at 1,188.34.

(3)  All 33 sectors declined, led by consumer finance, real estate and securities issues.

(4)  Trading volume on the main section swelled to a record-high 7.65514 billion shares from Wednesday’s 6.38067 billion.

(5)  After climbing more than 300 points to 15,942.60 in early trading, the Nikkei plunged over 1,400 points as a worse-than-expected HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index and a firmer yen in the afternoon led investors to unload shares amid caution over recent surges.

(6)  “Toward the end of the trading, panic selling was seen in massively heavy trading,” said Hirokazu Fujiki, a strategist with Okasan Securities. “We can’t tell whether or not this was a temporary storm of selling before watching reactions from U.S. markets later today.”

(7)  “Selling accelerated as Chinese manufacturing data fell to a seven-month low generating a sense of disappointment,” said Tatsunori Kawai, chief strategist at kabu.com Securities Co., adding players grew cautious ahead of the release of the eurozone manufacturing index for May later in the day.

(8)  Brokers said almost all technical charts were showing signs of overheating, as the Nikkei has not faced much adjustment as it surged more than 50 percent, or 5,000 points this year aided by generous economic policies advocated under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and aggressive monetary easing by the Bank of Japan, which sent the dollar higher against the yen.

(9)  Selling accelerated when the yen jumped against the dollar in Asia afternoon trade as investors adjusted positions after the recent fast-paced decline in the value of the Japanese currency.

(10)  The dollar fell to ¥101.63 in Tokyo afternoon trade from ¥103.31 in New York late Wednesday.

(11)  “The market may be entering an adjustment period after a sharp decline in the yen and a surge in Japanese stocks,” said Daisuke Karakama, a market economist at the forex division of Mizuho Corporate Bank.

(12)  “No one believed the yen would keep on falling and stocks would keep on rising. It is not surprising if yen-buying momentum revives at any time.”

(13)  Later in the day, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga declined comment on the stock market, only saying that weak Chinese economic indicators might have triggered the Nikkei fall.

(14)  “The economy of our country is expected to go along the path of a gradual recovery,” Suga said.

(15)  The Dow Jones industrial average sank 0.52 percent to 15,307.17 while the dollar was up Wednesday on Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke’s suggestions that the bank could taper off its massive stimulus in the coming months.

taper off:徐々にやめる
==================================

*JGB yields hit 1% first time in year
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2013/05/24/business/jgb-yields-hit-1-first-time-in-year/

**Fed bankers grapple with timing of exit strategy
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2013/05/24/business/fed-bankers-grapple-with-timing-of-exit-strategy/


--------------------------------------------

*#2321 株価暴落はどこまで続くのか?:とりあえずの目安は11,250円 Jun. 4, 2013 
http://nimuorojyuku.blog.so-net.ne.jp/2013-06-04-1

 #2305 株高の原因: Nikkei ends over 15,000 for first time since 2007
http://nimuorojyuku.blog.so-net.ne.jp/2013-05-22

  #2298 アベノミクスの罪:日経平均15,096.03円 May 16, 2013 
http://nimuorojyuku.blog.so-net.ne.jp/2013-05-16


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